FNUS72 KMFL 031037
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HUCKABEE FIRE...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
637 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO BREAK DOWN. THIS IS ALLOWING THE ATMOSPHERE
TO BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, AND INSTABILITY, THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR SOME SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. FOR
THIS MORNING, PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE, AND WHAT DOES FORM SHOULD BURN OFF
AROUND 9 AM. THE GENERAL WIND FLOW WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE ON FRIDAY. WITH INCREASED WINDS TONIGHT, THE
CHANCE OF FOG WILL BE DIMINISHED FOR TOMORROW MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    PATCHY SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 16 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 64 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 51 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........31     31     31     36     36     36
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64     77     87     89     87     82
RH..............100    69     50     45     50     58
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    SE 8   SE 9   SE 9   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     20     20     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   3000   4500   4500   4500   4000
MIXNG WIND......E 6    E 6    SE 16  SE 18  SE 18  SW 12
DISPERSION IDX..20     20     64     54     54     47
LVORI...........4      4      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 INCREASING TO 54 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...JON WALLACE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130403.HUCKA.01/MFL