FNUS73 KPAH 031256 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS BLOCK A B...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 756 AM CDT WED APR 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NEXT TO THE WATER YOU GOOD EASILY SEE RH READINGS 5% HIGHER. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE TRUE IF THE BODY OF WATER IS NORTHEAST OF THE BURN. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS MAY CREATE SOME SMOKE MANAGEMENT ISSUES ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. IN CONTRASTS MIXING DEPTHS ARE RELATIVELY DEEP WITH SIGNIFICANT EASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS. ALTHOUGH HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY DRY TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 48 51 52 53 54 54 53 RH..............32 29 26 25 25 25 26 28 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.8 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 16 17 20 21 22 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 23 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............51 46 43 41 39 37 RH..............32 42 49 55 57 56 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 4 NE 4 E 5 E 4 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 2600 1300 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 16 SE 8 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................65 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............37 44 49 51 RH..............56 51 54 61 20 FT WIND......E 4G10 NE 4G10 E 4G10 NE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1000 1800 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...D WILSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130403.CROSS.02/PAH