FNUS73 KDTX 041605 FWSDTX SPOT FORECAST FOR STERLING HUNT CLUB...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1205 PM EDT THU APR 4 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE LINGERING OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE...ALONG WITH A WEAK LAKE BREEZE...WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION UNTIL MID AFTERNOON. AFTER THAT...THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TEND TO DOMINATE A MORE SOUTHWEST DIRECTION DURING LATE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...400). TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........23 24 24 24 25 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 49 52 52 51 48 RH..............36 33 30 30 32 37 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 VRATE (KT-FT)...200 300 400 400 400 300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST BECOMING NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST BECOMING NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...100). TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........25 33 40 48 45 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 41 38 36 36 34 RH..............43 54 67 78 82 88 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 6 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 7 SW 6 W 5 W 5 NW 6 N 8 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 2100 1600 2500 1600 2200 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 2 2 VRATE (KT-FT)...200 100 100 100 100 100 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46. RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...700). $$ FORECASTER...TILLEY REQUESTED BY...TILLEY FOR MACKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130404.STERL.02/DTX