FNUS76 KMFR 041031
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH WARNER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
331 AM PDT THU APR 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON APRIL 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT IS SPREADING PLENTY OF MOISTURE INTO
EASTERN OREGON. FOR THE MOST PART THIS MOISTURE WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF CLOUDY SKY AND A FEW SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING...WITH
BETTER CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE WARM FRONT
WILL ALSO BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE BURN AREA AND THIS COULD START
AS EARLY AS NOON. COOLER AIR MASS WILL BRING SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO
NEAR THE TOP OF THE BURN ARE BY FRIDAY MORNING BUT ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. A FEW SHOWERS LINGERS INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH SOME CLEARING BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A FEW SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING...
                    DEVELOPING INTO LIGHT SHOWERS BY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 52-55.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45-48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 12 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
CWR.................26 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30 MPH IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO
                    20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48-51.
RH..................MIN 50-52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...BRETT SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130404.SOUTH.01/MFR