FNUS73 KAPX 051135 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUD BUCK RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 735 AM EDT FRI APR 5 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL SETTLE OVER THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE BOUNDARY WHICH SWEPT OVER THE STATE THURSDAY MOVES TO THE EAST COAST. LIGHT NORTH WINDS TODAY WILL EVENTUALLY TREND SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...IN RESPONSE TO A PLAINS STORM SYSTEM BUILDING INTO THE STATE FOR THIS WEEKEND. YOU SHOULD HAVE RECEIVED THE HYSPLIT DATA AUTOMATICALLY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MORNING FLURRIES. TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 41. RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100-5400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1000). TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........17 8 9 10 11 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 39 41 39 38 RH..............34 32 31 30 31 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......800 800 700 700 600 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100-2200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........15 23 27 29 35 40 45 50 53 58 67 77 WEATHER COV..... CHC WEATHER TYPE.... SN TEMP............35 31 29 28 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 26 RH..............35 43 51 55 60 63 65 68 68 71 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW N E SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......600 500 400 400 300 200 200 100 100 100 100 100 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN OR PERIODS OF DRIZZLE THROUGH THE DAY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44. RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 18 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(500). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........86 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD WEATHER TYPE....SNOW RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............27 28 32 35 37 39 RH..............74 75 66 64 62 59 20 FT WIND......S 4 SE 5 SE 8 SE 10 S 11 SE 11 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 20 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 4 3 SMOKE DISP......200 300 300 400 500 400 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130405.LOUDB.01/APX