FNUS73 KOAX 051433 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR FARM CREEK...NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 933 AM CDT FRI APR 5 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0920 CDT ON APRIL 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH FIRE DANGER IN THE VERY HIGH CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 25 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES BY THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE WINDY AND WARM CONDITIONS...WE DO NOT MEET EXTREME FIRE DANGER CATEGORY ACROSS THE AREA BECAUSE THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT. WIND DETAILS...SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN REMAINING THAT STRONG THROUGH 4 AM. AFTER 4 AM WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST THEN WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST BY 7 AM. THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY MORNING TO GUSTS OF 30 MPH AND REMAIN AT THAT WIND SPEED THROUGH NOON SATURDAY. SATURDAY AFTERNOON THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE... EVENTUALLY DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH BY SUNSET SATURDAY EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........48 48 48 50 53 55 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............42 50 58 64 66 64 RH..............66 51 43 40 40 45 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 13 S 16 S 22 S 23 S 20 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1200-2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NIETFELD REQUESTED BY...KYLE LAPHAM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130405.FARMC.01/OAX