FNUS73 KAPX 061207 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BEETLEJUICE LOUD BUCK RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 807 AM EDT SAT APR 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF MIXED RAIN AND SNOW TO PARTS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...AND A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF RAIN IS LIKELY TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF MIXED RAIN AND SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........29 AT IGNITION...MAX 43. RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION... OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-2900 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............26 29 31 34 35 37 38 40 41 42 RH..............71 66 61 56 56 56 57 57 57 60 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 7 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 400 500 500 600 700 700 800 800 700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 36 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1200 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........99 99 99 99 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF SCH WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............42 42 42 42 42 43 44 45 46 46 46 46 RH..............60 60 62 65 70 73 76 79 76 73 71 65 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 14 12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 SMOKE DISP......600 400 300 200 200 200 100 100 200 300 600 800 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 TO 36 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(900). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 93 87 74 58 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 42 43 47 50 51 RH..............68 67 65 56 48 46 20 FT WIND......SW 10 W 11 W 10 W 10 W 9 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 3 4 SMOKE DISP......900 800 900 900 900 700 $$ FORECASTER...BRUCE SMITH REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130406.BEETL.01/APX