FNUS74 KLZK 061056 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIELDS KNOB 2...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 556 AM CDT SAT APR 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ENVELOPES THE STATE. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE AN ISSUE AT THE BURN SITE BECAUSE OF THIS. EXPECT EYE LEVEL WINDS TO BE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 12 MPH BY MID MORNING WITH GUSTS INTO THE 18 TO 20 MPH RANGE. DO NOT EXPECT AFTERNOON RH VALUES TO DROP TOO LOW...MOST LIKELY INTO THE MID 30S AT THEIR LOWEST. RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE PRETTY GOOD...BUT WINDS WILL LIKELY STAY ELEVATED THANKS TO STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW. WOULD NOT EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO BE MUCH OF AN ISSUE OVERNIGHT...RATHER WINDS WILL STAY FAIRLY STEADY AROUND 5 MPH OR SO. SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY IN ALL ASPECTS...TEMPERATURES...WINDS AND WIND GUSTS...ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY BE A LITTLE LESS...AND FINALLY HUMIDITY READINGS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING. WINDS MAY GUST INTO THE UPPER TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2897 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 66 68 69 70 70 70 RH..............43 40 38 36 35 35 36 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 16 16 16 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 25 27 27 25 21 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 10 10 10 10 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 15 18 18 16 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.26 28 28 28 26 24 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1197 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 68 65 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 57 56 RH..............38 41 45 49 53 56 59 63 67 70 73 77 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.21 12 11 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.13 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 16 14 12 9 8 8 8 9 10 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2845 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............55 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 68 69 69 69 RH..............80 83 79 74 70 67 64 61 59 58 57 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 14 20 FT WIND GUST.8 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 21 21 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW SW S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.5 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 13 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 17 18 20 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130406.SHIEL.02/LZK