FNUS73 KOAX 061254 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR FARM CREEK RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 754 AM CDT SAT APR 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPDATED PER PHONE CONVERSATION TO INCLUDE CONDITIONS BEGINNING AT 0900 CDT RATHER THAN ORIGINALLY SUBMITTED IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT. A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE AREA WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 10 AM AND FINALLY APPROACH NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10 AM AND 11 AM. A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT. WIND SPEEDS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 25 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1100-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........79 65 53 40 30 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............58 62 66 68 69 66 RH..............59 54 44 38 37 40 20 FT WIND......SW 17 W 17 W 17 NW 17 NW 16 NW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 15 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...KERN REQUESTED BY...KYLE LAPHAM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130406.FARMC.01/OAX