FNUS75 KRIW 051714
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOLIGAN SPRINGS...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1114 AM MDT FRI APR 5 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SERIES OF FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE TROUGHS IN WEST FLOW WILL
BRING PACIFIC MOISTURE WITH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO THE BURN AREA TODAY AND
SATURDAY.  A STRONGER LOW IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES
AND MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE BURN AREA ON SUNDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500 MDT...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (47300-88600 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    EARLY MORNING. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-27.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-78 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100 MDT...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.25 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (48400-90400 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 2200 MDT
                    THEN POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...GUSTS UP
                    TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (42100-61300 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...RANCE NEIGHBORS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130406.HOOLI.01/RIW