FNUS73 KOAX 070958
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURIN...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
458 AM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NEARLY CALM SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST NORTHEAST BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY LATE
MORNING AND INCREASING TO AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH BY NOON. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.

THE MORNING WILL BE DRY HOWEVER SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND
ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER EASTERN
COLORADO EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SLIDE EAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND
WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THIS DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED...A FEW GUSTY WINDS COULD DEVELOP IN AND AROUND
ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 21
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........67     74     80     86     90     92
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............48     57     63     66     65     61
RH..............73     59     49     45     45     52
20 FT WIND......E 10   SE 13  SE 14  S 14   S 10   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      4      5      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KERN
REQUESTED BY...BOB BUHR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130407.TURIN.01/OAX