FNUS71 KCTP 081240 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR C-05 RX...PA AIR NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 840 AM EDT MON APR 8 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK STALLED COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO LIE RIGHT OVERHEAD THIS MORNING. THE WINDS WILL ONLY INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS MORNING... COMING FROM THE SOUTH...AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL STAY IN THE 40 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ARE STARTING OUT RATHER HIGH THIS MORNING. A LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING INTO SOUTHERN CANADA WILL DECREASE STABILITY...ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT ALMOST ALL OF THEM WILL REAMIN TO THE WEST OF YOUR LOCATION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6900-7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............46 40 47 59 64 68 73 76 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 58 60 62 64 66 67 66 RH..................66 61 57 54 51 49 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW W SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 1 2 5 7 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.8 2.8 4.1 5.6 6.7 7.4 7.6 6.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 6 7 10 13 15 16 16 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............76 77 77 77 76 76 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................65 62 61 60 58 57 RH..................54 62 68 72 76 80 20 FT WIND..........S 8 S 8 S 7 S 7 W 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)........4900 300 BLW100 200 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND......S 14 SE 8 S 9 S 10 SW 9 W 8 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............76 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 58 63 68 70 73 RH..................85 75 64 55 51 47 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 7 W 8 W 9 W 10 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........200 600 2600 4200 4600 5300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 9 W 13 W 18 NW 20 W 16 W 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DANGELO REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130408.C05RX.01/CTP