FNUS75 KBOU 091416 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR AG RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 816 AM MDT TUE APR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG LATE SEASON WINTER STORM WILL BE MOVING OVER THE STATE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS AT LOWER AND MID LEVELS WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY AS COLD AIR CONTINUES POURING INTO THE STATE FROM WYOMING. FURTHER ALOFT...FLOW WILL BE SOUTHERLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS FROM THE FOUR CORNERS AREA THIS MORNING TO NEAR DENVER THIS EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20. MIN HUMIDITY........60%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 70 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 6 ABOVE. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH 8-9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1400. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR AG RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/09-08 100 87 79 20 67 NE 12 17 2 1 SSE 40 1246 NNE 15 15704 P 04/09-09 100 87 79 16 78 NE 12 17 2 1 SSE 37 1091 NNE 15 14176 P 04/09-10 100 87 79 18 71 NE 12 17 2 1 SSE 37 1366 NNE 17 20768 P 04/09-11 100 87 79 18 71 NE 10 17 2 1 SE 37 1640 NNE 18 27360 P 04/09-12 100 81 70 19 67 NE 10 16 2 1 SE 38 1914 NNE 21 33952 P 04/09-13 100 81 70 19 67 NE 10 16 2 1 SE 39 1973 NNE 17 29982 P 04/09-14 100 81 70 19 67 NE 9 15 2 1 SSE 39 2032 NNE 15 26013 P 04/09-15 100 81 70 19 67 NE 9 14 2 1 SSE 37 2090 NNE 13 22043 P 04/09-16 100 81 70 17 72 NE 8 13 2 1 SSE 29 1944 NNE 10 18425 P 04/09-17 100 81 70 15 78 NE 8 8 2 1 S 18 1797 NNE 9 14807 P 04/09-18 87 36 14 13 84 NE 7 7 2 1 SSW 9 1651 NNE 8 11188 P 04/09-19 87 36 14 12 84 NNE 6 6 2 1 WSW 7 1598 NNE 7 10293 P 04/09-20 87 36 14 11 84 NNE 6 6 2 1 NW 8 1545 N 7 9398 P 04/09-21 87 36 14 11 80 N 5 5 2 1 NNW 9 1493 N 7 8504 P 04/09-22 87 36 14 10 80 N 5 5 2 1 NNW 12 1312 N 6 7044 P 04/09-23 87 36 14 10 76 N 3 3 2 1 NNW 13 1131 NNW 6 5584 P 04/10-00 89 16 3 9 76 NNW 3 3 2 1 NNW 14 950 NNW 5 4124 P 04/10-01 89 16 3 9 73 NNW 3 3 2 1 NNW 14 871 NNW 5 3871 P 04/10-02 89 16 3 9 70 NNW 3 3 2 1 NW 13 792 NNW 6 3618 P 04/10-03 89 16 3 8 71 NNW 3 3 2 1 NW 12 714 NNW 6 3365 P 04/10-04 89 16 3 7 73 NNW 3 3 2 1 NW 12 901 NNW 6 5205 P 04/10-05 89 16 3 6 77 NNW 3 3 2 1 NW 12 1089 N 7 7046 P 04/10-06 53 12 2 7 76 NNW 5 5 2 1 NW 13 1277 N 8 8886 P 04/10-07 53 12 2 8 77 NNW 6 6 2 1 NW 15 1914 N 10 18811 P 04/10-08 53 12 2 13 67 NNW 7 7 2 1 N 18 2552 NNW 12 28736 P 04/10-09 53 12 2 20 54 NNW 9 15 2 1 N 23 3189 NNW 14 38660 P 04/10-10 53 12 2 25 47 N 8 13 2 1 N 25 3534 NNW 14 40379 F 04/10-11 53 12 2 29 42 N 7 7 2 1 N 26 3878 NNW 13 42097 F 04/10-12 74 13 3 30 43 NNE 6 6 2 1 N 26 4223 NNW 12 43815 F 04/10-13 74 13 3 32 41 N 7 7 2 1 N 26 4472 NNW 13 51883 F 04/10-14 74 13 3 32 42 N 9 15 2 1 NNW 25 4722 NW 15 59951 F 04/10-15 74 13 3 32 43 NNW 10 16 2 1 NNW 25 4971 NW 16 68020 G 04/10-16 74 13 3 31 46 NNW 9 15 2 1 NNW 25 4651 NW 16 64667 G 04/10-17 74 13 3 30 48 NNW 7 7 2 1 NNW 26 4332 NW 16 61314 G 04/10-18 51 7 1 27 55 NNW 6 6 2 1 NNW 29 4013 NW 16 57961 F 04/10-19 51 7 1 24 62 NNW 7 7 2 1 NNW 36 3458 NW 18 53188 F 04/10-20 51 7 1 21 70 NW 8 13 2 1 N 43 2903 NW 20 48414 F 04/10-21 51 7 1 18 77 WNW 9 15 2 1 N 47 2348 NW 22 43641 F 04/10-22 51 7 1 17 76 WNW 8 14 2 1 N 44 1703 NW 18 30684 P 04/10-23 51 7 1 17 71 W 7 7 2 1 NNW 37 1059 NW 16 17727 P 04/11-00 46 4 1 16 70 W 7 7 2 1 NNW 32 414 WNW 14 4771 P 04/11-01 46 4 1 16 68 W 8 13 2 1 NNW 31 332 WNW 15 4137 P 04/11-02 46 4 1 15 70 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 32 250 WNW 17 3504 P 04/11-03 46 4 1 15 70 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 33 168 WNW 20 2871 P 04/11-04 46 4 1 15 69 W 13 20 2 1 NNW 32 198 WNW 21 3567 P 04/11-05 46 4 1 14 73 W 13 21 3 1 N 30 229 WNW 21 4262 P 04/11-06 63 10 2 13 80 W 13 21 3 1 N 29 259 WNW 22 4958 P 04/11-07 63 10 2 14 85 W 12 18 3 1 N 32 655 NW 22 11675 P 04/11-08 63 10 2 20 74 WNW 9 16 2 1 NNW 38 1052 NW 21 18392 P 04/11-09 63 10 2 29 58 WNW 8 13 2 1 NNW 44 1448 NW 20 25109 P 04/11-10 63 10 2 35 50 WNW 7 7 2 1 NNW 48 3098 NW 23 69655 G 04/11-11 63 10 2 40 45 WNW 6 6 2 1 N 53 4748 NNW 25 114202 V 04/11-12 80 21 4 42 45 WNW 6 6 2 1 N 54 6397 NNW 29 158749 E 04/11-13 80 21 4 44 43 WNW 6 6 2 1 NNW 49 6695 NNW 26 153106 E 04/11-14 80 21 4 44 44 WNW 5 5 3 1 NNW 44 6992 NNW 24 147463 V 04/11-15 80 21 4 44 45 WNW 5 5 3 1 NNW 37 7289 NNW 22 141821 V 04/11-16 80 21 4 43 47 NW 5 5 3 1 NNW 32 6067 NW 20 109813 V 04/11-17 80 21 4 42 49 NW 3 3 3 1 NNW 30 4844 NW 17 77806 G 04/11-18 85 23 5 38 57 NW 3 3 3 1 NNW 26 3621 NW 15 45799 F 04/11-19 85 23 5 35 63 WNW 3 3 3 1 NNW 24 3279 NW 13 37997 P 04/11-20 85 23 5 31 73 W 2 2 3 1 NW 22 2938 NW 12 30195 P 04/11-21 85 23 5 29 78 W 2 2 3 1 NW 21 2596 NW 10 22393 P 04/11-22 85 23 5 28 80 W 2 2 3 1 NW 20 1941 WNW 8 15450 P 04/11-23 85 23 5 27 82 WSW 2 2 3 1 WNW 20 1287 WSW 6 8507 P 04/12-00 78 23 5 27 81 WSW 2 2 3 1 WNW 20 633 SW 2 1564 P 04/12-01 78 23 5 26 83 WSW 2 2 3 1 WNW 20 614 SW 3 1598 P 04/12-02 78 23 5 25 85 W 2 2 3 1 W 21 595 WSW 3 1631 P 04/12-03 78 23 5 25 85 W 2 2 3 1 W 22 576 WSW 3 1665 P 04/12-04 78 23 5 25 84 W 2 2 3 1 W 23 560 WSW 3 1781 P 04/12-05 78 23 5 24 88 WNW 2 2 3 1 W 24 543 W 5 1898 P 04/12-06 76 25 5 23 92 WNW 2 2 3 1 W 25 527 W 5 2014 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...DANKERS REQUESTED BY...DISTRICT AFMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130409.AGRAN.01/BOU