FNUS75 KGJT 091431
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY SPRINGS PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
831 AM MDT TUE APR 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE POWERFUL UPPER LOW IS NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS THIS
MORNING AND WILL TRACK SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. A
MOIST AND UNSETTLED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING THE SNOWFALL
EMPHASIS TO THE SOUTHERN VALLEYS AND SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS
TODAY WITH THE MORNING MODEL RUNS EMPHASIZING THE MANCOS RIDGE.
STILL THE BURN SITE SHOULD GET SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND
THOUGH THIS EVENING. AS THE LOW LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND DEEP MIXING WILL COME TO AN END. DRY AND COOL EXPECTED
ON WEDNESDAY BUT GUSTY SOUTHWEST AFTERNOON WINDS WILL PRODUCE FAIR
SMOKE DISPERSAL.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS MODERATE AT
                    TIMES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000 THEN SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN MODERATE SHOWERS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS THIS
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN FAIR
                    BECOMING POOR TOWARDS MORNING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 1-5 MPH INCREASING TO 5-12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130409.TURKE.01/GJT