FNUS73 KPAH 091240 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BLOWDOWN 16...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 740 AM CDT TUE APR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK DUE TO PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW. ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...WHEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT APPROACH THE AREA. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ANYWHERE FROM THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES. IN THE MEANTIME...LOTS OF CLOUDS AND MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S AND STRONG SOUTH WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 69 71 73 74 75 76 76 76 76 RH..............74 70 67 65 63 62 61 61 61 62 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 12 13 13 13 12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 30 30 30 30 25 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.26 26 28 28 28 29 30 31 32 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 31 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 33 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 72 70 69 68 67 RH..............65 72 76 79 82 84 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 9 S 8 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2300 1500 800 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 35 S 36 S 36 S 35 S 35 S 33 CWR.............0 0 0 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 33 TO 40 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 71 74 75 RH..............85 77 73 70 20 FT WIND......S 10G20 S 12G25 S 13G30 S 13G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1300 2200 1400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 33 S 35 S 36 S 39 CWR.............40 40 50 50 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130409.BLOWD.01/PAH