FNUS73 KPAH 091253 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CANE RIDGE UNIT I...USFS MARK TWAIN NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 753 AM CDT TUE APR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK DUE TO PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW. ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WHEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT APPROACH THE AREA. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ANYWHERE FROM THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES. IN THE MEANTIME...LOTS OF CLOUDS AND MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S AND STRONG SOUTH WINDS. IF YOU DO SEE ANY SUNSHINE TODAY...IT COULD BREAK OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT IT DOES NOT LOOK PROBABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................1 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 35 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 74 76 77 78 78 78 77 RH..............69 65 62 61 59 58 58 59 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 11 11 11 11 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 30 31 32 33 35 35 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 35 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............76 73 71 69 68 67 RH..............61 70 76 81 85 87 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 8 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 2800 1400 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 36 S 36 S 36 S 35 S 33 S 33 CWR.............0 0 0 40 40 40 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................56 PERCENT INCREASING TO 76 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 33 TO 41 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 70 73 73 RH..............89 79 74 75 20 FT WIND......S 8G15 S 10G25 S 11G30 S 12G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2000 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 33 S 37 S 40 S 41 CWR.............60 60 80 80 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130409.CANER.01/PAH