FNUS73 KPAH 091319 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR EBP...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 819 AM CDT TUE APR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK DUE TO PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW. ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WHEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT APPROACH THE AREA. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ANYWHERE FROM THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES. THE RAIN SHOULD COME TO AN END THURSDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-4400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............68 71 73 75 76 77 77 77 76 RH..............74 71 67 65 63 62 60 61 62 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.2 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.2 3.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 29 29 29 30 30 31 31 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64. RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 39 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 71 69 67 66 65 RH..............64 71 75 77 79 80 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 2500 1200 300 BLW100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 32 S 35 S 38 S 39 S 37 S 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................1 PERCENT INCREASING TO 11 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 73 78 80 RH..............81 65 57 54 20 FT WIND......S 6G15 S 10G20 S 10G25 S 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....600 2200 3400 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 31 S 29 S 29 S 35 CWR.............0 0 10 10 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...DANIEL CASTO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130409.EBP__.01/PAH