FNUS71 KCTP 100101 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SCARLET LADY...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 901 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN QUITE LOW AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW INTO WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ESPECIALLY STRONG...BUT ISOLATED GUSTS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO EXTEND FROM A LOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW MOVEMENT EASTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY...FOCUSING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE DISTRICT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. RAINY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE FOR FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS SATURDAY. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 29 MPH...DECREASING TO 8 TO 17 MPH EARLY...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 65 59 62 66 69 69 69 58 58 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................64 70 74 75 73 67 65 64 62 60 RH..................67 54 49 48 51 62 64 67 69 74 20 FT WIND..........W 8 W 9 W 10 W 12 W 12 W 12 W 9 NW 7 N 5 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 15 15 15 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3800 5500 4900 4000 2700 1400 600 300 300 400 TRANSPORT WIND......W 24 W 29 W 26 W 21 W 13 W 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 W 8 LAL.................1 1 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............58 78 78 78 78 78 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................57 59 62 65 67 69 RH..................80 76 68 61 59 55 20 FT WIND..........N 3 N 3 NE 3 E 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........600 800 1200 1900 2500 2300 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 12 N 15 NE 13 NE 10 E 10 E 15 LAL.................1 4 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LACORTE REQUESTED BY...JOHN WAKEFIELD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130410.SCARL.01/CTP