FNUS75 KGJT 101501
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE PASTURE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
901 AM MDT WED APR 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MAIN STORM HAS MOVED OFF TO THE EAST...BUT A
COLD NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. SOME SUNSHINE TODAY WILL
HELP WITH LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY...ENOUGH TO BOOST SMOKE DISPERSION
INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON...AND PROBABLY GOOD FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD DURING MAX HEATING. EXPECT DRAINAGE WINDS TO DEVELOP
BY LATE THIS EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. ANOTHER FAST
MOVING DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT.
.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 3-5 MPH INCREASING TO 9-12 MPH AFTER 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30435 KT-FT UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. BRIEF
                    PERIOD OF LOW-END GOOD AROUND 1500-1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY
                    1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH AT 1200...BECOMING NORTH 12 MPH
                    BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) UNTIL 0300...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SHIFTING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130410.HORSE.01/GJT