FNUS73 KJKL 101021 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAIGHT CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 621 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ONE MORE WARM AND DRY DAY IS EXPECTED BEFORE CHANGES ARRIVE ON THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON THURSDAY. IT WILL CAUSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND. MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THE FRONT TO FINISH THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING... BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 10 AM. EVENING. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING... BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 10 AM. POP.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL UNTIL 10 AM...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 5 MPH OR LESS UNTIL 10 AM...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 10 AM. DISPERSION INDEX....73. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........33 41 35 32 29 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 69 76 80 82 79 RH..............80 61 48 41 38 44 20 FT WIND......S 3 SW 9 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 15 17 18 16 15 RIDGETOP WIND...S 5 SW 13 SW 15 SW 15 SW 13 SW 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2700 3500 3800 4000 1800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 SW 22 SW 21 SW 18 SW 17 SW 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 5 MPH OR LESS. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AT 5-10 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........20 15 21 42 47 57 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 70 67 64 62 59 RH..............50 61 70 77 81 88 20 FT WIND......SW 5 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 RIDGETOP WIND...SW 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 MIX HGT (FT)....100 100 100 100 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 5 MPH OR LESS EARLY IN THE MORNING... BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING... BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. POP.................90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING... INCREASING TO AROUND 4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL AFTER PRECIPITATION BEGINS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING... INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....100. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........83 76 78 90 97 100 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............61 71 74 75 73 71 RH..............82 76 55 52 60 65 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 7 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 20 20 20 20 RIDGETOP WIND...S 5 S 10 S 15 S 15 S 14 S 13 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1000 3500 4500 4000 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 SW 9 SW 23 SW 23 S 22 S 21 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...HAL REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130410.STRAI.01/JKL