FNUS74 KLZK 101905 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR GOGGINS FIELD...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 205 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1350 CDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE AS THE COLD FRONT REMAINS JUST TO THE WEST ACROSS FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE SPECIFIC LOCATION AROUND 2 PM RUNS FROM JUST SE OF HARRISON...TO EAST OF MENA. THIS FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT COULD SAG A BIT FURTHER SE...WHICH WOULD SHIFT THE WINDS AT THE SITE TO THE WNW ABOUT ABOUT 5 TO 15 MPH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AN ONGOING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE MONTGOMERY...GARLAND...AND YELL COUNTY LINES IS MOVING IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE WILDFIRE SITE...AND CURRENT TRENDS IF THE CLUSTER HOLDS TOGETHER WILL BE HAVE THIS CLUSTER NEAR THE SITE IN ABOUT 2 HRS. HOWEVER...CHANGES IN SPEED AND COVERAGE...OR THE ADDITION OF MORE STORM CELLS COULD ALSO EFFECT THE SITE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT REQUEST...MAX 73. RH..................79 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 67 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 553 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............67 66 65 64 62 RH..............79 80 83 86 92 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW SW W EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 11 11 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.30 33 33 33 29 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 15 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 1300 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 553 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....PDS DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............59 56 55 53 52 51 49 47 45 44 43 42 RH..............92 98 94 90 86 82 80 79 78 78 78 79 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW W EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.22 16 15 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 90 90 90 80 80 80 60 60 50 30 30 .THURSDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............1. SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 16 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............41 40 41 44 46 49 51 53 54 55 56 56 RH..............79 81 77 68 61 56 51 48 45 43 41 41 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 11 11 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 20 21 20 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...W GILMORE REQUESTED BY...AOICC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130410.GOGGI.01/LZK