FNUS73 KPAH 101227 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CLAYTON HOLLOW...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 727 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NOT SURE HOW MUCH IF ANY SUNSHINE WILL BE SEEN TODAY DUE TO THE LARGE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE...AS WELL AS REMNANT CLOUDINESS FROM STORMS TO YOUR WEST THAT ARE STREAMING INTO THE AREA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE MAIN SWATH OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL NOT PUSH THROUGH UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT AT THE BURN SITE. TRYING TO FIGURE OUT THE EXACT TIME AND LOCATION OF ANY ACTIVITY BEFORE THE MAIN FRONTAL PRECIPITATION...WILL BE TOUGH. BUT IF ANYTHING DEVELOPED IT WOULD LIKELY BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AS THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT AS CONDUCIVE FOR CONVECTION THIS MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................3 PERCENT INCREASING TO 24 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1100-2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............75 76 77 78 79 79 78 77 RH..............68 65 64 62 60 59 59 60 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 12 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 23 23 24 26 29 31 33 CWR.............0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................56 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 31 TO 39 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 69 66 63 60 58 RH..............63 75 81 85 92 93 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 8 S 7 S 7 SW 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 100 300 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 36 S 38 S 39 S 39 S 35 SW 28 CWR.............60 60 60 90 90 90 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................36 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 60 60 60 RH..............89 81 76 69 20 FT WIND......W 7G15 W 7G15 W 7G15 W 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1400 2200 1400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22 SW 16 SW 14 W 17 CWR.............40 40 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130410.CLAYT.01/PAH