FNUS71 KAKQ 111207 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR MARUMSCO...MD FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 807 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST TODAY...CROSSING THE REGION EARLY MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON FRIDAY. OCCASIONAL SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AND COLD WATER TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG THE COAST. SHOWERS EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER THE BURN SITE MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............24 24 21 21 21 19 19 19 35 35 35 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................64 67 69 72 74 75 76 77 75 74 73 RH..................80 70 68 64 62 60 58 58 60 59 62 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.4 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......9 10 10 10 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 15 15 20 25 20 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 4 9 14 19 19 19 20 20 20 19 LVORI...............3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................11 11 11 20 28 24 25 25 26 26 25 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............60 60 60 72 72 72 79 79 79 87 87 87 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................71 68 67 65 64 63 63 62 62 62 62 62 RH..................66 73 75 81 84 87 87 87 87 87 90 90 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 60 60 60 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SE E SE SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 13 10 9 9 9 10 13 14 16 17 17 VRATE KT-FT/1000....12 7 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 ADI.................18 13 11 10 8 8 9 11 13 14 15 16 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30 TO 36 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............96 96 96 96 96 96 92 92 92 77 77 77 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................62 62 62 63 65 67 68 70 70 70 70 69 RH..................93 93 93 93 90 87 81 76 73 71 68 68 CHC OF PCPN (%).....70 70 70 80 80 80 60 60 60 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 10 14 15 16 16 15 15 14 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 25 25 30 25 25 25 25 25 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.....17 17 17 18 22 25 30 35 36 33 26 21 VRATE KT-FT/1000....4 4 4 8 14 22 27 33 36 34 28 22 LVORI...............5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................16 15 15 17 24 32 39 47 50 47 39 30 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 FORECASTER...MINNICK REQUESTED BY...D KRONNER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130411.MARUM.01/AKQ