FNUS72 KMFL 121202
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR MICCO 3...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
802 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE. AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY
WILL BE A MOIST AND UNSTABLE FLOW FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
PROVIDING FOR AN ABUNDANCE OF CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS
MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LOW LEVEL WIND AT THE FIRE WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTH THIS
MORNING INCREASING TO AROUND 5-10 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND VEER TO
THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS DUE TO THE MOIST FLOW OF AIR
WITH DISPERSION BECOMING GENERALLY GOOD BY LATE MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 43 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........74     74     68     68     68     64
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............82     85     86     85     81     76
RH..............69     61     59     58     65     76
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    S 8    SW 8   SW 8   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   4100   4500   4000   4000   2800
MIXNG WIND......S 14   S 14   S 15   SW 15  SW 15  SW 9
DISPERSION IDX..39     39     45     41     41     9
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     20
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 18 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130412.MICCO.01/MFL