FNUS74 KLZK 131633 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTWRIGHT NORTH...U.S.FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1133 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE TODAY BUT ONLY A FEW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED. INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE SEEN ON SUN...WITH AMPLE MIXING EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 40 PERCENT RANGE...POSSIBLY A BIT LOWER. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER NORTHWEST AR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A CONTINUING CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL FINALLY MOVE THROUGH WED NIGHT OR EARLY THU WITH RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG STORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3152 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............57 59 60 62 62 62 RH..............48 43 43 42 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 1 1 1 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 8 10 12 14 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 1200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 415 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............61 60 61 58 56 55 54 53 52 51 51 50 RH..............49 54 54 61 66 69 72 74 77 79 82 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 16 15 14 14 12 10 9 9 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75. RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 33 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4197 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 49 50 55 60 64 67 70 73 74 75 75 RH..............85 89 85 73 64 57 52 47 45 43 42 43 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 7 8 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 14 20 26 31 33 33 32 32 31 31 31 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130413.CARTW.01/LZK