FNUS73 KPAH 131558
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MDC EAGLE SKY RX...MISSOURI DEPT. OF CONSERVATION / USDA NRCS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1058 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 13.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER FROM THE WEST...AS A MINOR
WEATHER DISTURBANCE SKIRTS ALONG THE NORTHERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSOURI
BORDER DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SLOW THE
RISE OF TEMPERATURES AND THE RATE OF DECREASE OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY AFTER
2 PM CDT. DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD...THERE WILL BE WIND SHIFT FROM
WEST NEAR IGNITION TIME TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AFTER 2 PM CDT.

OVERALL THIS WEEKEND...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
WITH A RETURN TO WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
HUMIDITY AS WELL...AS GREEN UP CONTINUES. THE PATTERN
WILL BE UNSETTLED NEXT WEEK...WITH SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS OR
STORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
                    (40-60 PERCENT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000-4200
                    FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............52  55  58  61  62  63  62  61
RH..............50  46  42  39  38  37  40  45
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   4   5   5   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  10  9   8   8   8   9   10
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...TIM STANTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130413.MDCEA.01/PAH