FNUS71 KRNK 131741
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEAL RUN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
141 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WIND DIRECTION SHOULD CHANGE A LOT FROM MORNING THE LATE AFTERNOON
ON SUNDAY. ARRIVAL OF CLOUDS WILL...IF AT ALL...WILL HAVE A LOT TO
DO WITH ANY WIND GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON. DIRECTION SHOULD BE WEST
IN THE MORNING...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTH SOUTHEAST BY NOON...THEN
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. RH WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE AFTERNOON
UNTIL WHEN EITHER THICKER CLOUDS ARRIVE OR WINDS TURN MORE TO THE
SOUTHEAST. SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH
                    LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON
                    AT 6 MPH...THEN SE BY LATE AFTERNOON AT 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      10     20     25     60
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43     47     51     57     63     65
RH..................68     64     52     42     38     33
20 FT WIND..........W 2    W 3    SW 5   S 5    S 6    SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....4      10     8      10     10     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL EARLY...QUICKLY DECREASING TO 250 FT AGL
                    IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 TO 8
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............75     90     90     90     100    100
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64     60     58     55     53     52
RH..................38     46     53     60     65     70
20 FT WIND..........SE 12  S 10   SE 9   SE 8   SE 8   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     18     15     10     10      8
CWR.................0      15     15     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...MATTAROCHIA
REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130414.NEALR.02/RNK