FNUS71 KCTP 150745 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR TURNIP PATCH - 055...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 345 AM EDT MON APR 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL BRING MILD AND MOIST AIR INTO THE STATE EARLY IN THE WEEK...ALONG WITH GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE ON TUESDAY AND THEN STALL IN THE VICINITY OF PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED SPRINKLES UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 51 54 56 58 58 60 59 RH..................55 51 48 46 43 43 41 43 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 7 9 10 13 14 14 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 13 14 16 17 16 15 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............100 86 86 86 86 86 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................58 55 54 52 51 50 RH..................45 52 54 57 61 66 20 FT WIND..........S 14 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 SE 7 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........2500 1600 900 600 600 500 TRANSPORT WIND......S 15 S 17 SE 15 SE 13 SE 13 S 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............83 83 83 88 88 88 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 51 55 59 61 64 RH..................73 68 62 57 56 53 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 S 7 S 9 S 12 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........500 800 1900 3000 3800 4100 TRANSPORT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 22 S 28 S 28 S 26 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 2 2 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130415.TURNI.01/CTP