FNUS74 KLZK 151131 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR FIFTY SIX BLOCK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 631 AM CDT MON APR 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO ARKANSAS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAINED STALLED OUT NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER THROUGH WEDNESDAY... PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MID SOUTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2811 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............68 70 72 74 75 76 76 RH..............70 67 65 61 60 60 61 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 5 5 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 24 26 25 24 22 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 1700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1161 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 74 72 70 69 68 67 66 66 65 64 64 RH..............63 66 70 73 76 77 78 79 82 84 87 89 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW W SW S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 23 22 18 14 8 5 5 7 9 9 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4600 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4142 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............64 63 65 68 70 72 73 75 75 76 76 76 RH..............91 92 87 80 75 71 67 65 63 61 61 61 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 15 20 22 22 22 22 21 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 $$ FORECASTER...61 REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130415.FIFTY.01/LZK