FNUS74 KLZK 151148 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LIBERTY BLOCK 9...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 648 AM CDT MON APR 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO ARKANSAS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAINED STALLED OUT NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER THROUGH WEDNESDAY... PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MID SOUTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3800 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2768 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 64 66 69 71 73 76 78 79 79 79 RH..............86 79 73 67 65 63 60 57 56 56 57 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 14 16 18 18 18 18 17 16 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2100 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1143 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 77 74 72 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 65 RH..............59 63 67 71 74 75 77 78 81 84 87 90 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 EYE LVL WND GST.4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 17 13 9 6 5 3 5 6 7 7 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4600 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3619 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 65 67 69 71 73 75 76 77 78 78 78 RH..............92 94 88 82 77 73 69 67 65 64 63 64 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 12 16 20 20 18 16 16 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 $$ FORECASTER...61 REQUESTED BY...RICK WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130415.LIBER.01/LZK