FNUS74 KLZK 151132 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BEAR 2 AND 3...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 632 AM CDT MON APR 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO ARKANSAS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAINED STALLED OUT NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER THROUGH WEDNESDAY... PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MID SOUTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2234 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............71 73 76 78 79 79 79 RH..............69 66 62 59 58 58 59 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 18 18 20 20 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64. RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 1900 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 923 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............78 77 75 73 71 70 70 69 68 67 66 66 RH..............62 65 69 73 75 76 77 79 82 85 88 91 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 21 20 20 20 18 15 12 9 10 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3488 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 65 67 69 71 73 75 76 77 78 78 78 RH..............93 95 90 84 79 75 72 70 68 66 65 66 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 16 17 18 21 22 23 22 21 18 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...61 REQUESTED BY...JWF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130415.LITTL.01/LZK