FNUS71 KPBZ 150116
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GIPSY RX 2...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
916 PM EDT SUN APR 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT THEN A COLD
FRONT WILL SAG ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY AND USHER IN A PERIOD
OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).............63  64  64  64  64  65  67  68  70  71  72  73
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56  60  63  64  65  66  66  67  66  65  63  61
RH..................61  54  49  47  46  46  45  45  46  49  53  57
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 2.8 4.0 4.6 4.9 4.7 4.3 3.7 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18  21  24  28  30  32  33  35  36  36  35  33
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 36 MPH...DECREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 28 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...RG
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130415.GIPSY.01/PBZ