FNUS75 KABQ 161340
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGBACK 2 FIRE...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
740 AM MDT TUE APR 16 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

DISCUSSION...
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL
CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH LOW TEENS RH VALUES AND WINDY
AFTERNOON GUSTS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS. A PACIFIC COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...SHIFTING WINDS
OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP ALONG WITH
INCREASED CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. DAYTIME RH
VALUES WILL BE IMPROVED WITH INCREASED MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT.
VENTILATION RATES WILL REMAIN GOOD TO EXCELLENT THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-74.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 10-13 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                       SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 32 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/336933 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/130385 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/336933 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......5 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37-40.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 38-41 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO
                       12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/300000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       BECOMING POOR/13000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                       SHOWERS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51-55.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 22-26 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO
                       NORTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 18 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/134281 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/54993 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/134281 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...24

$$

REQUESTED BY...FELTON LITTLESINGER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130416.HOGBA.01/ABQ