FNUS74 KLZK 161257 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR FIFTY SIX BLOCK 1...U.S.FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 757 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 CDT ON APRIL 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO ARKANSAS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MEANDER NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION. A LINE OF STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS BACK TO ARKANSAS STARTING FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................87 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4706 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TEMP............67 70 74 75 77 78 79 79 79 79 RH..............87 81 76 71 67 64 61 59 60 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 20 20 20 18 18 18 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TEMP............78 76 74 72 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 65 RH..............62 65 70 75 79 81 83 86 89 91 93 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 15 13 13 14 15 17 17 17 16 14 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4965 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 65 67 69 71 73 74 76 77 77 78 77 RH..............96 97 91 85 79 75 71 68 67 65 64 65 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 14 17 22 24 24 25 25 26 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130416.FIFTY.01/LZK