FNUS71 KCTP 170827 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR BAERS ROCKS...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 427 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA LATE TUESDAY WILL STALL ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE TODAY...THEN LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY. THE STALLED FRONT WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY AND SFC MOISTURE RELATIVELY HIGH TODAY...BUT SHOULD LEAD TO LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL. ANOTHER STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM WITH GREATER RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SHOULD ARRIVE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL BE HUMID TOO. COOLER DRIER WEATHER AND LOWERING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-3200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............70 70 70 70 59 59 59 59 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 53 56 58 61 62 62 63 RH..................61 59 53 48 43 43 42 42 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......8 7 7 6 5 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 2.6 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 12 12 10 10 9 8 7 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............59 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 59 56 53 51 50 RH..................44 50 56 63 66 68 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 E 2 E 3 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............77 91 91 91 80 80 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 50 52 56 59 62 RH..................70 72 72 71 69 68 20 FT WIND..........SE 7 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.BAERS.01/CTP