FNUS71 KCTP 161637 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT DAVIS SGL 124...PGC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1235 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND RIBBON OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF IT WILL BRING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH INTO VIRGINIA BY TOMORROW AND BECOME TEMPORARILY STRATIONARY THERE. CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHEAST TO EASTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY HERE IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...WITH JUST SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRIAN IN THE MORNING. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL BE HUMID TOO WITH RH VALUES OF 70 TO 80 PERCENT EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND 50 TO 60 PERCENT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............77 77 77 76 76 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................59 64 67 69 70 RH..................75 64 61 59 58 20 FT WIND..........N 5 NE 6 NE 5 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1800 2000 2100 2400 2700 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 16 NE 13 NE 8 E 6 SE 7 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............76 83 83 83 85 85 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 67 64 62 60 59 RH..................61 67 71 76 81 82 20 FT WIND..........E 6 E 5 E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... MIX HGT (FT)........2800 2800 2700 2300 1600 1300 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 8 SE 12 SE 14 SE 16 SE 18 SE 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 3 3 3 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............85 75 75 75 58 58 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................59 59 65 70 74 75 RH..................83 84 73 64 58 55 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 SE 7 S 9 S 12 S 13 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 1300 1400 1400 1700 2400 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 20 S 18 S 16 S 15 S 18 S 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...DEVOIR/LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.FORTD.01/CTP