FNUS71 KCTP 170951 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT DAVIS SGL 124...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 551 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA LATE TUESDAY WILL STALL ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE TODAY...THEN LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY. THE STALLED FRONT WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY AND RELATIVELY HUMIDITY GENERALLY HIGH TODAY...BUT SHOULD NOT LEAD TO MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL. ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM...WITH GREATER RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SHOULD ARRIVE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL BE HUMID TOO. COOLER DRIER WEATHER AND LOWERING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............90 90 90 90 90 67 67 67 67 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 61 62 64 65 67 67 68 68 RH..................76 73 69 65 62 58 57 55 54 20 FT WIND DIR......N N NE NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.0 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 12 9 8 7 6 7 7 8 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 77 77 77 93 93 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 64 62 60 57 57 RH..................56 61 66 72 76 77 20 FT WIND..........E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........3200 1400 500 500 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND......E 9 E 9 E 8 E 9 SE 14 SE 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............93 91 91 91 72 72 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 55 58 62 68 72 RH..................79 80 80 75 66 59 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)........1000 1200 1600 1900 1900 2000 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 12 SE 12 SE 15 SE 17 SE 18 SE 17 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.FORTD.01/CTP