FNUS74 KEPZ 180248
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CURTIS FIRE...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
848 PM MDT WED APR 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2023 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA IN THE PAST HOUR SO WEST WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OBSERVATION SOUNDS SHELTERED...WIND GUSTS IN
NEARBY AREAS ARE STILL AROUND 30 MPH AS OF 830 PM...SO STRONGER GUSTS
MAY STILL BE AFFECTING PARTS OF THE FIRE PERIMETER. WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TOWARDS DAWN...BUT WILL PICK BACK UP FROM THE
NORTHWEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP CLOSE TO FREEZING
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS...ALTHOUGH RH RECOVERY WILL BE
MODERATE AS A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN. RH WILL REMAIN LOW TOMORROW
DESPITE LOWER TEMPERATURES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LOOK TO BE ON
TAP FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    DIMINISHING AND SHIFTING TO NORTH-NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    TOWARDS DAWN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 28 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    9 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING..
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........MAX 152,000 KNOT-FEET (EXCELLENT)


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130417.CURTI.01/EPZ