FNUS72 KILM 171312
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR APPRENTICE BURN...NC STATE PARKS-JONE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
912 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL BUILD INTO THE CAROLINAS
TODAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO RAINFALL. LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL RESULT IN FOG DEVELOPMENT
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY
SATURDAY ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MAX ADI.............52.
MAX LVORI...........10.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-11500 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............33     39     42     41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................73     79     82     80
RH..................56     48     45     48
20 FT WIND..........SW 1   SE 2   SE 2   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........2700   4900   6200   5800
TRANSPORT WIND......E 1    NE 2   NE 2   E 1
LVORI...............2      1      1      1
ADI.................19     38     52     46
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...3      9      12     7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF
x09x09    FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MAX ADI.............43.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-3104 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............41     40     43     47     50     47
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................78     71     68     65     63     62
RH..................50     63     71     79     86     89
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 4   SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........4300   300    BLW100 BLW100 300    BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 1   S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0
LVORI...............1      2      3      4      6      6
ADI.................43     28     9      5      3      3
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...3      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...LEBO
REQUESTED BY...LANE GARNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130417.APPRE.01/ILM