FNUS72 KILM 171257
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR CABE DOW RD  RX BURN...NC STATE PARKS-CABE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
857 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL BUILD INTO THE CAROLINAS
TODAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO RAINFALL. LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS AND A CLEAR SKIES WILL RESULT IN FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 10 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-15294 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............19     17     16     16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................69     73     76     75
RH..................62     57     54     58
20 FT WIND..........E 2    SE 5   SE 10  SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........1800   2800   2900   2200
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 3   E 5    E 5    SE 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...5      13     14     6

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MAX ADI.............10.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIX HGT (FT)........1500   300    BLW100 BLW100 300    100
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 2   S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0
LVORI...............3      3      4      4      5      6
ADI.................9      10     9      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MORNING FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-52669 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............36     38     57     57     58     58
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62     63     67     70     70     70
RH..................91     87     76     71     72     74
20 FT WIND..........E 3    NE 4   E 5    E 6    E 8    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........BLW100 300    1000   2300   3200   3100
TRANSPORT WIND......S 0    S 0    S 6    SE 13  SE 16  SE 14
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0      0      6      30     53     43

$$
FORECASTER...LEBO
REQUESTED BY...JAMES C  HELMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130417.CABED.01/ILM