FNUS74 KLZK 171159 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO RD...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 659 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL DRY...WARM AND BREEZY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MORE MOISTURE TO ARKANSAS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS WILL DRIFT MORE NORTH...WITH ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER MAINLY NORTHERN AREAS. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO AND THROUGH ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY...AND BRING MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH OUT OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND BRING THE RETURN OF COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4233 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............77 78 79 80 81 81 RH..............68 60 59 57 57 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 14 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 24 25 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 28 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 79 77 75 74 73 72 71 71 71 70 70 RH..............58 60 64 68 70 73 76 79 80 81 83 84 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 14 14 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 16 20 FT WIND GUST.14 18 18 18 18 18 18 21 21 21 21 18 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.8 11 11 11 11 11 11 13 13 13 13 11 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.26 28 26 25 24 23 22 22 22 23 23 24 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71. RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 23 TO 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2400 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1443 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............69 69 68 68 67 64 61 59 57 55 53 53 RH..............86 88 86 83 81 77 72 68 66 64 62 62 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW W W W NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 13 12 12 12 12 13 14 17 17 18 20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 14 12 12 12 12 14 18 21 21 21 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW W W W NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 10 10 11 EYE LVL WND GST.11 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 11 13 13 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 25 24 24 23 23 23 23 24 25 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 80 80 80 90 90 90 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.BUFFA.01/LZK