FNUS74 KLZK 171156 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LIBERTY KV BLOCK 8...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 656 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL DRY...WARM AND BREEZY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MORE MOISTURE TO ARKANSAS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS WILL DRIFT MORE NORTH...WITH ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER MAINLY NORTHERN AREAS. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO AND THROUGH ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY...AND BRING MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH OUT OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND BRING THE RETURN OF COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 84. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5300 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4792 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............77 79 80 81 82 82 RH..............70 63 61 59 58 59 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 11 11 12 12 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.6 5 6 6 7 7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 28 28 28 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 80 78 76 75 74 73 72 72 71 71 70 RH..............60 62 66 69 71 73 76 78 80 81 82 84 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 8 8 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 25 25 25 25 24 24 23 22 20 18 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 25 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2400 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1906 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............70 69 70 71 72 69 67 64 62 60 58 56 RH..............86 89 86 84 81 78 74 71 67 64 60 60 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW W W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 10 10 12 12 13 14 17 18 18 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 12 12 14 18 21 21 21 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW W W W W W NW EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 10 11 11 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 11 13 13 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 20 22 24 25 28 28 26 25 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 60 60 80 80 80 90 90 90 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...RICK WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.LIBER.01/LZK