FNUS74 KLZK 171127 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR M O GANDERS PEAK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 627 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL DRY...WARM AND BREEZY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY. SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO ARKANSAS. RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 45 TO 55 PERCENT RANGE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS WILL DRIFT MORE NORTH...WITH ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER MAINLY NORTHERN AREAS. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO AND THROUGH ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY...AND BRING MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH OUT OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND BRING THE RETURN OF COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 29 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5300 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4795 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 78 80 81 82 83 82 RH..............73 68 61 59 57 56 56 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 12 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 12 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 7 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 28 29 29 29 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 26 TO 28 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 80 78 77 75 75 74 73 72 72 72 71 RH..............58 60 64 67 69 72 74 77 78 79 80 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 13 13 14 15 15 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 18 18 18 18 18 18 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 26 26 26 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 25 TO 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1898 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............71 70 71 71 72 69 67 64 62 59 57 56 RH..............84 87 85 83 81 78 74 70 68 65 62 62 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW W W W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 13 14 14 13 12 10 13 15 17 17 20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 14 18 18 14 12 11 14 18 21 21 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW W W W W NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 8 9 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.11 8 8 11 11 8 7 6 8 11 13 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 26 28 29 30 31 32 31 30 29 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 70 70 70 80 80 80 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.MOGAN.01/LZK