FNUS74 KMAF 171627 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS RIVER BURN...GLOBAL FRONTLINE SOLUTIONS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1127 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1125 MDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS ARE CURRENTLY OBSERVED AT THE BURN SITE THOUGH MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY AS AFTERNOON HEATING MIXES 20 TO 30 MPH WINDS TO THE SURFACE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SITE THOUGH WINDS WILL BE STRONGER WEST OF PECOS AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE MARGINAL AT AND EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR A TIME WINDOW MAINLY FROM 3 TO 7 PM. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL BE POOR THOUGH WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT WILL VEER WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW AND INCREASE MOISTURE SLIGHTLY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND BLOWING DUST IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........6 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (392000 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE....NONE BLDUST BLDUST BLDUST TEMP............86 91 94 94 RH..............12 9 7 6 20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW WSW WSW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 10 17 22 20 FT WIND GUST.10 16 25 30 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 9000 14000 14000 TRANS WIND DIR..W SW SW SW TRANS WIND SPD..10 21 28 28 VENT CAT........POOR EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........29 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (350000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (8900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............95 82 71 64 57 52 RH..............6 9 14 19 24 26 20 FT WIND DIR..WSW W W WNW WNW WNW 20 FT WIND SPD..24 21 18 17 17 18 20 FT WIND GUST.32 25 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....12500 12500 500 1500 1500 500 TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW W NW NW NW TRANS WIND SPD..28 28 14 21 21 12 VENT CAT........EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (57600 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 53 61 65 67 68 RH..............29 25 20 18 16 15 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..19 19 19 18 16 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 6500 8500 8500 9500 TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW N NW NW W TRANS WIND SPD..15 15 11 7 7 6 VENT CAT........POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD FAIR HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HENNIG REQUESTED BY...JERRY LANGWELL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.PECOS.03/MAF