FNUS73 KPAH 171225 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ATWOOD RIDGE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 725 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RETURN TO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TODAY AS A STATIONARY FRONT RETURNS TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT...THOUGH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT. STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN IS FORECAST LATE IN THE WEEK...BUT DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1900-3700 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............70 73 77 80 81 82 82 82 81 RH..............76 71 69 67 65 63 61 61 60 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 8 9 10 11 11 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 22 22 22 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.6 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 17 18 20 21 21 20 20 CWR.............20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66. RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............79 75 72 70 68 67 RH..............64 71 76 81 87 90 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 11 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 500 200 300 400 500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 15 S 15 S 18 S 24 S 26 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1800-2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 47 MPH BY MID MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 73 75 76 RH..............97 81 76 69 20 FT WIND......S 12G25 S 13G30 S 14G30 S 13G30 MIX HGT (FT)....700 2800 4100 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 44 S 47 S 43 CWR.............20 20 90 90 HAINES INDEX....3 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130417.ATWOO.01/PAH