FNUS71 KRNK 171045 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEPHANT FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 645 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON AN ISSUANCE TIME OF 0645 EDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN VIRGINIA INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A MUCH STRONGER FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. GREATEST THREAT FOR SHOWERS/STORMS TODAY WILL BE DURING AND JUST AFTER THE PEAK HEATING HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. .YESTERDAYS (APRIL 16TH) OBSERVED WEATHER FROM THE GLENPED RAWS AT NATURAL BRIDGE...HIGH 78...LOW 57... RAIN 0...RH MAX 93%...RH MIN 50%. .THIS MORNINGS CONDITIONS FROM THE GLENPED RAWS AT 0542 AM... TEMP 60...RH 91%...OVERCAST...WIND LIGHT & VARIABLE 1-3. FORECAST FOR... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING EAST 2 TO 6 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING...BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN THIS AFTERNOON...UPSLOPE 2 TO 5 MPH. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............100 80 70 70 71 74 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................60 64 71 74 77 79 RH..................91 77 63 57 52 48 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 N 3 N 5 NE 2 E 3 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 5 5 10 CWR.................10 10 20 40 50 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............77 85 92 97 100 99 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................78 73 70 67 65 64 RH..................50 57 63 68 76 89 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................40 40 30 20 10 10 .OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY... PARTLY SUNNY. CONTINUED WARM AND HUMID. HIGH AROUND 80. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 45-50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH... GUSTS OF 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...MANUEL REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130417.ELEPH.01/RNK