FNUS71 KBGM 181058 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER 1...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 658 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING. YOUR ASPECT ALONG A SOUTH SLOPE AT LOW ELEVATION WITH A RIDGE LINE TO YOUR SOUTHEAST MAY CAUSE SHADOWING AND SOME PROTECTION FROM STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS AT RIDGETOP LEVEL. VARIABILITY IN WIND DIRECTION MAY ALSO OCCUR BECAUSE OF LOCATION. HUMIDITY STARTS OFF RELATIVELY DRY AT THE CURRENT TIME...HOWEVER A MARINE LAYER OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION CAUSING DEWPOINT AND RH VALUES TO ACTUALLY RISE SLIGHTLY DURING FIRST HALF OF BURN AND LEVEL OFF BEFORE MIXING OUT THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD RECOVERY IS FORECAST TONIGHT. ON FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WITH A SOAKING RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR DRIZZLE ON THE RIDGETOPS IN THE EARLY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 29 MPH. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 49 53 55 58 60 61 61 61 RH..................71 71 64 61 55 53 53 56 58 20 FT WIND DIR......E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....23 23 26 26 26 29 29 29 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 59 57 56 55 54 53 53 52 51 51 50 RH..................62 67 75 80 83 90 93 93 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.6 2.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 29 26 26 26 30 30 30 33 33 33 36 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 36 TO 43 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 47 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV......... NMRS WEATHER TYPE........ RW TSTM COV............ SCT TEMP................50 50 52 56 59 63 66 68 70 71 71 71 RH..................100 100 100 93 87 75 70 65 61 59 59 59 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 4.7 4.7 4.7 3.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....36 36 37 37 37 43 43 43 47 47 47 47 $$ FORECASTER...BREWSTER REQUESTED BY...MATT BOSS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130418.SNYDE.02/BGM