FNUS72 KILM 181327 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR CABE DOW RD RX BURN...NC STATE PARKS-CABE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 927 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED OFFSHORE. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AT THE BURN SITE...ANY SHOWER WILL BE SHORT LIVED WITH LIGHT...OR NO...RAIN ACCUMULATION. A BETTER CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE TOWARDS FRIDAY MORNING. WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS WELL. COOLER AIR AND A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (15409-42320 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............76 69 59 44 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 69 69 69 RH..................83 80 77 77 20 FT WIND..........E 6 E 6 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1400 2000 2000 1300 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 15 SE 17 SE 20 SE 18 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...20 34 38 23 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX ADI.............17. MAX LVORI...........6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 43 38 41 51 62 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ MIX HGT (FT)........900 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 14 SE 7 SE 6 S 10 S 16 S 15 LVORI...............3 5 6 6 5 5 ADI.................17 5 4 9 14 13 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HELMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130418.CABED.01/ILM