FNUS75 KGJT 191137
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFER CREEK PILES...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
537 AM MDT FRI APR 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 19. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF STORM APPROACHING
FROM THE NORTHWEST. ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE PEAKS SURROUNDING THE FIRE SITE TODAY. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. SNOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE
SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS TONIGHT BECOMING WIDESPREAD AND LIKELY
FALLING OVER THE FIRE SITE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
x09x09    CLOUDY (70-80%) AFTER 1200. ISOLATED SNOW
x09x09    SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2 TO 4 MPH THROUGH 1000
x09x09    ...THEN BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO
x09x09    15 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12400-40500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
x09x09    TO GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL BY
x09x09    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-18 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
x09x09    AROUND 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (18500 KNOT-FT) AFTER
x09x09    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
x09            AROUND 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20600-25500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL BY
x09x09    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...T  TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130419.BUFFE.01/GJT