FNUS72 KMLB 191226
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR KP 14 CONTINUED...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
826 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE VERY MOIST...THEREFORE
EXPECT THAT THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND STORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  THE BURN SITE SHOULD BE IN THE SHADOW
OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE DURING THIS TIME WITH CONVECTIVE INITIATION OFF TO
THE EAST...AND POSSIBLY ALSO TO THE WEST WITH THE WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE. BUT AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH GUSTY
WINDS TO 30 MPH COULD PUSH THROUGH WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS STARTING TO
DEVELOP. WE ARE CALLING FOR ISOLATED COVERAGE OF THE STORMS BUT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES COULD BE QUITE STRONG WELL OUT AWAY FROM THE RAINFALL AND
LIGHTNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 16 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     82     86     87     85     81
RH..............84     67     55     52     53     63
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 14   SE 16  SE 17  S 18   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.       20     20     25     25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 9
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130419.KP14C.01/MLB